Two bags A and B have equal number of bails. Bag A has 20% red balls and 80% green bails. Bag B has 30% red bails. 60% green balls and 10% yellow balls. Contents of Bags A and B are mixed thoroughly and a ball is randomly picked from the mixture. What is the chance that the ball picked is red? A. 20% B. 25% C. 30% D. 40%

20%
25%
30%
40%

The correct answer is $\boxed{\text{C. 30%}}$.

The probability of event A happening, given that event B has already happened, is called the conditional probability of A given B, and is denoted by $P(A|B)$. It can be calculated using the following formula:

$$P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}$$

In this case, event A is picking a red ball, and event B is mixing the contents of Bags A and B. The probability of picking a red ball from Bag A is $0.2$, and the probability of picking a red ball from Bag B is $0.3$. The probability of mixing the contents of Bags A and B is $1$, since it is certain that the contents will be mixed. Therefore, the conditional probability of picking a red ball given that the contents of Bags A and B have been mixed is:

$$P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} = \frac{0.2 + 0.3}{1} = 0.3$$

Therefore, the probability of picking a red ball is $\boxed{\text{30%}}$.

Option A is incorrect because it is the probability of picking a red ball from Bag A, not from the mixture of Bags A and B. Option B is incorrect because it is the average of the probabilities of picking a red ball from Bags A and B, but these probabilities are not equally likely. Option D is incorrect because it is the probability of picking a red ball from Bag B, not from the mixture of Bags A and B.

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