The correct answer is $\boxed{\frac{1}{{1 – {{0.9}^ \circ }10}}}$.
The return period of a flood is the average number of years between floods of a given magnitude or greater. A 10% risk of a flood occurring in the next 10 years means that there is a 10% chance of a flood occurring in any given year. In other words, the flood has a 10% chance of occurring once every 10 years, on average.
The return period can be calculated using the following formula:
$T = \frac{1}{{1 – {{p}^ \circ }r}}$
where:
- $T$ is the return period
- $p$ is the probability of the event occurring in any given year
- $r$ is the number of years
In this case, $p = 0.1$ and $r = 10$. Substituting these values into the formula, we get:
$T = \frac{1}{{1 – {{0.1}^ \circ }10}} = \frac{1}{{1 – 0.09090909090909091}} = 10.909090909090909$
Therefore, the return period for design is 10.9 years. This means that there is a 10% chance of a flood occurring once every 10.9 years, on average.
Option A is incorrect because it is the probability of the event occurring in any given year, not the return period.
Option B is incorrect because it is the probability of the event not occurring in any given year.
Option C is incorrect because it is the reciprocal of the probability of the event not occurring in any given year.
Option D is incorrect because it is the reciprocal of the probability of the event occurring in any given year.