Visa Norm Tightening

  • Significant Drop in US Visa Issuance: US F-1 student visas issued to Indian nationals sharply dropped by 30% in February 2025 compared to February 2024. This is disproportionately larger than the global average and other major countries like China.

  • Increased Visa Revocations: Indian nationals accounted for 50% of international students whose US visas were revoked in early 2025. The “Catch and Revoke” program is flagged as a factor, raising concerns about fairness.

  • Longer Visa Wait Times: Indian students face significantly longer visa wait times (58 days in Delhi) compared to East Asian capitals.

  • Australian Scrutiny: Australia has increased visa scrutiny for applicants from specific Indian states, leading to fears of profiling.

  • Impact on India’s Soft Power: The visa issues weaken India’s global presence and influence in key fields.

  • Risk to Demographic Dividend: Curbs hinder educational opportunities for India’s large youth population.

  • Potential Decline in Remittances: Stricter norms could reduce student migration and remittances to India.

  • Legal and Financial Hardship: Students facing revocation must undergo complex legal procedures to restore their SEVIS status

  • Human Capital Drain and Redirection: Shift towards hubs like Nordic countries and South Korea, impacting talent flow.

  • Domestic Higher Education Pressure: Strain on Indian institutions due to increased demand as international options narrow.

  • Mitigation Strategies:

    • Leverage diplomatic instruments
    • Overseas Education Protection Fund (OEPF)
    • Enhance domestic higher education
    • Digital student registry for tracking and support
    • Regulate education consultancies
  • Increased Visa Denials: In 2024, 41% of student visa applications were denied, compared to the 22.1% of all other types of visa applications that were denied.