India-US 2+2 Dialogue
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Advancing Defense Framework: India and the US are working on a new 10-year defense framework to boost defense production, cooperation, and industrial ties. This signifies a commitment to deepening military partnership and technology sharing.
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Strengthening Trade and Energy Security: Discussions included enhancing trade and investment, civil-nuclear cooperation, and critical minerals exploration, indicating a focus on economic and energy interdependence.
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Reaffirming Indo-Pacific Commitment via Quad: Both nations reaffirmed their dedication to a secure, strong, and prosperous Indo-Pacific region through the Quad. This is particularly timely as India prepares to host the 2025 Quad Leaders Summit, highlighting the alliance’s strategic importance.
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First Bilateral Contact Amidst Tariffs: This dialogue served as the first official communication after recent US tariffs on Indian goods, signifying a diplomatic effort to manage tensions and maintain bilateral engagement despite economic disputes.
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COMPACT Framework Advancement: Cooperation will be strengthened under the US-India COMPACT framework, aimed at accelerating military partnership, commerce, and technology for the future.
India Cyber Resilience
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Why in News: Parliamentary Standing Committee highlights escalating cyber threats and calls for better public awareness, cyber safety, and digital security due to increased internet use and online transactions.
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Key Cyber Threats:
- Financial Frauds: Surge in phishing, ransomware, identity theft, UPI, and online banking scams (1.91 million complaints in 2024).
- Ransomware & Malware: Targeting hospitals, government, and private enterprises (e.g., AIIMS Delhi attack).
- Critical Infrastructure Vulnerability: Risks to power grids, telecom, nuclear facilities from cyber sabotage (e.g., Kudankulam attack).
- Data Breaches: Large-scale personal data leaks from government and private sectors (e.g., Air India breach).
- Deepfakes & Misinformation: Threatening social cohesion and elections through AI-generated fake content.
- Dark Web: Exploited for radicalization, illegal trade, and terror financing.
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Factors Undermining Framework:
- Inadequate Laws: Existing laws like IT Act, 2000, lack provisions for AI/deepfake threats; DPDP Act, 2023 needs strong enforcement.
- Skilled Professional Shortage: Significant gap in cybersecurity experts (need 1 million, have less than half).
- Rapid Digitalization & Low Awareness: Increased threats alongside low cyber hygiene and limited digital literacy, especially in rural areas.
- Weak Critical Infrastructure Protection: Outdated protocols, reliance on imported equipment.
- Fragmented Agency Coordination: Limited cooperation between agencies like CERT-In and NCIIPC.
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Strengthening Measures:
- Strengthen Legal Framework: Update IT Act for AI/deepfakes; enforce DPDP Act.
- Institutional Reforms: Mandate cybersecurity audits, establish district-level units.
- Secure Critical Infrastructure: Enforce 2FA, encryption, real-time monitoring, Zero-Trust Architecture.
- Promote Indigenous Solutions: Support “Make in India” tools and AI-based threat detection startups.
- Improve Cyber Hygiene: Launch nationwide literacy campaigns in regional languages; integrate cybersecurity in education.
FlexTarget
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Why in News: RBI affirmed the successful performance of the Flexible Inflation Targeting (FIT) framework in maintaining price stability, with inflation remaining low and stable since its introduction.
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What is FIT:
- Adopted in 2016 based on Urjit Patel Committee recommendations.
- Aimed to improve monetary policy credibility after high inflation post-Global Financial Crisis.
- Targets CPI inflation at 4% with a ±2% tolerance band (2%-6%).
- Allows short-term deviations to manage supply shocks and economic crises, prioritizing growth during downturns while returning to the target medium-term.
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Performance:
- Successes: Achieved disinflation (average 4.9% post-FIT vs 6.8% pre-FIT), anchored expectations, increased transparency via MPC, and provided policy flexibility during crises.
- Challenges: Faced exogenous shocks (pandemic, conflicts), an outdated CPI base year, and periodic dissent/interference within the MPC.
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Key Debates:
- Headline vs. Core Inflation:
- Headline: More representative, global norm, aligns with household experience.
- Core: More stable, better reflects demand pressures, avoids reacting to supply shocks.
- Point Target vs. Range-Only:
- Point Target (4% with band): Clear anchor for expectations, promotes clarity and accountability.
- Range-Only: Greater flexibility, acknowledges forecasting limits, avoids over-tightening.
- Headline vs. Core Inflation:
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Way Forward:
- Revise CPI base year.
- Retain core FIT tenets and adaptability.
- Strengthen policy credibility through consistency.
- Address food-energy shocks via complementary supply-side management.
India-EAEU FTA Talks
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India-EAEU FTA Negotiations Launched: India and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) signed the Terms of Reference (ToR) to start negotiations for a Free Trade Agreement (FTA).
- Why in News: This development follows stalled trade talks with the US and rising US tariff threats, signaling India’s move towards trade diversification.
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EAEU Overview: An international organization for regional economic integration, established in 2015, comprising Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, and the Russian Federation. Its aim is free movement of goods, services, capital, and labor.
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Significance for India:
- Market Access: Provides access to a USD 6.5 trillion market, boosting Indian exports (textiles, pharmaceuticals, engineering, electronics) and benefiting MSMEs.
- Trade Diversification: Reduces dependence on US/EU markets amid tariff disputes and strengthens the India-EAEU economic partnership, with bilateral trade reaching USD 69 billion in 2024.
- Energy Security: Offers access to abundant natural resources and energy vital for India’s growth.
- Connectivity Boost: Complements initiatives like the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and Chennai–Vladivostok Corridor.
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Challenges:
- Trade Deficit: Significant trade deficit with Russia.
- Geopolitical Sensitivity: Potential alarm to NATO/Western allies due to the Russia-led deal and sanctions.
- Domestic Industry Concerns: Risk of cheap imports impacting Indian producers.
- Low FTA Utilization: India’s existing FTAs are underutilized.
- Non-Tariff Barriers: Bureaucratic delays and complex customs procedures.
- SPS Standards: Strict sanitary and phytosanitary standards hindering agricultural exports.
- Dollar Dependency: Reliance on the US dollar for trade, with limited local currency mechanisms.
Heat Stress Report
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Extreme heat is a growing global health risk for workers: Climate change is causing more frequent and intense heatwaves (40-50°C+), impacting workers indoors and out.
- Why it’s news: This highlights a tangible, present danger from climate change affecting a significant portion of the workforce.
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Productivity and health are severely impacted: Worker productivity drops by 2-3% for every degree above 20°C. Heat stress leads to heatstroke, dehydration, kidney, and neurological disorders.
- Why it’s news: Quantifies the economic and physical toll of heat on workers, showing a direct link between heat and decreased output/health issues.
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Millions of workers are at risk: Over 2.4 billion workers globally face excessive heat, resulting in 22.85 million occupational injuries annually. Heat stress is now spreading beyond traditional hot regions.
- Why it’s news: Emphasizes the sheer scale of the problem and its expanding reach, affecting a vast number of individuals and causing widespread injuries.
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Vulnerable populations are disproportionately affected: Manual laborers (agriculture, construction, fisheries), older adults, low-income groups, and children/elderly in developing nations are at higher risk.
- Why it’s news: Identifies specific groups that need immediate attention and targeted support, highlighting an issue of inequality exacerbated by climate change.
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Urgent policy and practical solutions are needed: Recommendations include developing occupational heat-health policies, raising awareness, co-creating strategies, and implementing affordable, sustainable solutions.
- Why it’s news: Provides actionable steps for governments, employers, and workers, indicating a clear path forward to mitigate the risks.
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Aligns with UN Sustainable Development Goals: The report supports SDG 3 (Good Health and Well-being), SDG 8 (Decent Work and Economic Growth), and SDG 10 (Reduced Inequalities).
- Why it’s news: Frames the issue within a global framework for development, underscoring its importance for broader societal progress.
India Feeds World
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India partners with World Food Programme (WFP) to supply fortified rice: A Letter of Intent signed signifies India’s commitment to using its agricultural surplus to support vulnerable populations globally, addressing food and nutritional needs in crisis zones.
- Why in News: This collaboration directly aids in fighting global hunger by leveraging India’s resources for humanitarian distribution.
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India’s role as a major global producer and exporter: India is a food-surplus nation and a leading producer of milk, pulses, spices, and grains, exporting various products to support global nutrition.
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Champion of food security solutions: India shares agricultural technology and seeds, implements domestic programs like the National Food Security Act and POSHAN Abhiyaan as replicable models, and provides humanitarian food aid to crisis-hit countries.
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Advocacy in international forums: India champions developing nations’ rights in WTO negotiations, particularly concerning public stockholding for food security.
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Promotion of climate-resilient agriculture: India promotes millets as a sustainable solution to global hunger, aligning with climate-smart practices.
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Key Challenges & Solutions:
- Food Wastage: Improve storage and transportation, invest in cold chains.
- Climate Change Vulnerability: Implement climate-resilient agriculture schemes, promote crop diversification, and expand drip irrigation.
- Nutritional Challenges: Fortify foods with micronutrients, implement supplementation programs.
- Public Distribution System (PDS) Issues: Enhance digital tracking, transform fair price shops, and strengthen the One Nation One Ration Card plan.
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Contribution to SDGs: India’s efforts directly contribute to SDG 2 (Zero Hunger) and SDG 12 (Responsible Consumption and Production).